Vasco da Gama finds themselves in a precarious position, hovering just above the relegation zone. While their impressive victory over Sao Paulo offered a glimmer of hope, they’ve since failed to secure a win in their last two league matches. Currently tied on points with 17th-placed Atletico Goianiense, Vasco sits precariously on goal difference. A narrow defeat to high-flying Bahia was followed by a more encouraging 1-1 draw against another top side, Botafogo.

Despite their recent struggles, Vasco can take solace in their unbeaten home record in the last three Serie A matches. This could serve as a confidence booster as they prepare to face Fortaleza on Thursday. Historically, Vasco holds the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, boasting six wins, seven draws, and only three defeats against their upcoming opponent. Furthermore, they’ve remained undefeated in the last three meetings, including back-to-back victories at home.

However, Vasco faces a significant challenge against a resurgent Fortaleza side. Manager Alvaro Pacheco will need to address their defensive frailties, having conceded the most goals (25) in the league so far. In stark contrast, Fortaleza has extended their unbeaten run in Serie A to four matches, following a convincing 2-1 victory over Juventude. This impressive run has propelled them to eighth place in the table, just a single point off a coveted Copa Libertadores playoff spot.

Despite their current form, Fortaleza has a vulnerability on the road. Both of their league defeats this season have come away from home, and they haven’t managed a victory in their last four away matches. This inconsistency adds an element of uncertainty to their ability to maintain their unbeaten streak against Vasco. Fortaleza’s struggles on the road are further emphasized by their goalscoring record. They’ve only managed to net three goals in five away matches, conceding eight in the process. This pales in comparison to their dominant home performances, where they’ve scored 10 goals while conceding just four.

This upcoming encounter promises to be a battle between Vasco’s home advantage and historical dominance against a resurgent Fortaleza. Vasco will be desperate to capitalize on their home form and potentially climb away from the relegation zone, while Fortaleza will be determined to maintain their unbeaten run and continue their push for a Copa Libertadores playoff spot.